The XAO Indicator is still positive, although it has gone sideways for the past two weeks. Looks to me as though it can't make up its mind - to break through or break down. Personally I am becoming more confident that it will ultimately continue its upward move. On the other hand, that's a typical emotion to have near the top of the market. Let's review the resistance we are up against right now. First, the current resistance falls on a 61.8% retracement of the move down from the April high to the May low. Secondly, there's that long downward trendline connecting the November 2007 high and the April 2010 high that the market has to get through to move higher. Thirdly, the 4700 to 4750 resistance level I have previously mentioned is also a resistance zone highlighted by the Advanced Get software. Oh and one another thing, an astrologer wrote recently says that by mid-October the stockmarket will be back in the headlines again . . . well, we'll see. Here's an updated chart. By the way, if the market breaks through the resistance, there's a good chance it will break hard and it is not difficult to see the market running to 5000 in quick time.
The XAO Indicator paints the daily bars on a chart - blue to show a rising market and red to show it falling. This indicator has been tested over 30 years. When a bar turns blue, 67% of the time the market will move higher before turning red again. When it turns red, it is a time for caution. Sometimes when red, the market can fall substantially.
I am not a financial adviser so you should not take any part of this blog as being financial advice. Observing and interpreting charts is a hobby and so is this blog. The information in this blog is just my opinion, it may not reflect reality. Stock market investing is risky - you can lose all, or potentially more than all of your money given certain market conditions. Not only can you lose a lot of money buying shares, you can also lose a lot of potential profits by selling shares at the wrong time. So please do not buy or sell shares because of information in this blog. Whether you buy or sell shares is your decision as is the decision when to buy and sell. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Do not risk any money if you do not fully know and understand what you are doing.
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