The All Ords today hit the first resistance level at around 4360. I see 3 possibilities from here. The first is that we have a brief pause for another day or two before resuming the move up - to at least the second resistance (blue ellipse - which by the way, moves down as the days pass). The second possibility is that we now correct the move up from last week's low. This could involve a move down of at least 200 points. The third possibility is that we now resume the down move and retest last week's low. For what its worth I favour the first possibility but if we don't get a new high this week, that would be cause for concern. Now, if we do get a new high, the big problem is that we will reach serious resistance fairly quickly. 4450 on the All Ords is the 50% retracement level of the move down from the April high to last week's low. I suspect that the area between 4450 and 4550 is going to be very difficult to break through.
The XAO Indicator paints the daily bars on a chart - blue to show a rising market and red to show it falling. This indicator has been tested over 30 years. When a bar turns blue, 67% of the time the market will move higher before turning red again. When it turns red, it is a time for caution. Sometimes when red, the market can fall substantially.
I am not a financial adviser so you should not take any part of this blog as being financial advice. Observing and interpreting charts is a hobby and so is this blog. The information in this blog is just my opinion, it may not reflect reality. Stock market investing is risky - you can lose all, or potentially more than all of your money given certain market conditions. Not only can you lose a lot of money buying shares, you can also lose a lot of potential profits by selling shares at the wrong time. So please do not buy or sell shares because of information in this blog. Whether you buy or sell shares is your decision as is the decision when to buy and sell. Do not risk any money you cannot afford to lose. Do not risk any money if you do not fully know and understand what you are doing.
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